Carlsbad Surf Forecast, San Diego County, California

Live

San Diego County, California

Right nowPoor
1-2ft

Dawn patrol is the move — 1-2ft on WSW swell at 8s with light winds out of the SSW.

Swell
2.2ft
11s · SSW
Wind
4mph
SSW · Onshore
Water
75°F
Boardshorts / rashguard
Tide
Mid
rising · high 1:37 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 9 AM localWind: model · 9 AM localTide: forecast

Best window·Sunday 12PM3PM·4-5ft·Good

Registered at the buoy
Swell2.9ft @ 6s WNW
Groundswell2.4ft @ 11s SSW
Steepness: average

Carlsbad 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Carlsbad, San Diego County, California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 12ft, 11s period, rated Poor. Dawn patrol is the move — 1-2ft on SW swell at 9s with light winds out of the SSW. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 11mph from the WSW and dropping conditions to very poor.

Fri, Sep 4: 23ft, 18s period, rated Poor - Fair. Early morning is your best window — 2-3ft waves on SSW swell at 18s with light ENE winds. Onshore flow builds through the day to 10mph, bringing conditions down to poor.

Sat, Sep 5: 34ft, 16s period, rated Fair. Midday is the call — 2-3+ft waves with light winds out of the WNW and fair conditions. Early on is a little rough — give it until mid-morning to shape up.

Sun, Sep 6: 45ft, 14s period, rated Fair - Good. Dawn patrol is the move — 4-5ft on S swell at 14s with light NNW winds. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Mon, Sep 7: 45ft, 13s period, rated Good. Early morning is your best window — 4-5ft waves on SSW swell at 13s with glassy conditions. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 10mph from the W and dropping conditions to poor.

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Hourly Forecast

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Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy San Clemente Basin (46086) 98 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

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Carlsbad Surf Spot Guide

Break
Beach
Bottom
Sand
Level
Beginner
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
SSW
Best Wind
NE
Season
Fall

Carlsbad offers accessible sandy beach breaks with mellow, rolling waves ideal for beginners and intermediate surfers looking to progress their skills. The consistent swell exposure and gradual beach bathymetry create forgiving conditions that work across a range of tide levels. This family-friendly stretch of San Diego County coastline provides a welcoming atmosphere with plenty of beach amenities and parking.

Crowded at peak timesOccasional rip currents

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Carlsbad Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Carlsbad?

The current wave height at Carlsbad is 1-2ft with a 10.5s swell period. Wind is SSW at 4mph. Conditions are rated Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Carlsbad?

The current breaking wave height at Carlsbad is 1-2ft, produced by a 2.2ft SSW primary swell at 11s, a 2.2ft W wind swell swell at 6s, a 1.3ft SSW tertiary swell at 16s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Carlsbad?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Carlsbad is Sunday from 12 PM to 3 PM with 4ft waves, a 13.8s swell period, and conditions rated Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Carlsbad?

Carlsbad works best with a SSW swell and NE winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Carlsbad?

Tide plays a big role at Carlsbad. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Carlsbad and who is it for?

Carlsbad is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to beginner surfers. Carlsbad offers accessible sandy beach breaks with mellow, rolling waves ideal for beginners and intermediate surfers looking to progress their skills. The consistent swell exposure and gradual beach bathymetry create forgiving conditions that work across a range of tide levels. This family-friendly stretch of San Diego County coastline provides a welcoming atmosphere with plenty of beach amenities and parking.

When is the best season to surf Carlsbad?

The prime season at Carlsbad is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Carlsbad?

Common hazards at Carlsbad include crowded at peak times, occasional rip currents. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Carlsbad surf forecast?

Our Carlsbad forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).