Carolina Beach Surf Forecast, North Carolina

North Carolina

Right nowPoor
1-2ft

Aim for the middle of the day — 1-2ft on SE swell at 9s with 11mph from the SSE.

Swell
1.7ft
9s · SE
Wind
11–12mph
SSE · Cross-on
Water
86°F
Boardshorts / rashguard
Tide
High
falling · low 7:00 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 12 PM localWind: model · 12 PM localTide: forecast

Conditions stay similar this week — check the hourly forecast at Carolina Beach for the cleanest windows.

Registered at the buoy
Swell2.1ft @ 10s SE

Carolina Beach 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Carolina Beach, North Carolina. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 12ft, 9s period, rated Poor. Early morning is your best window — 1-2ft waves on SE swell at 9s with 11mph from the SSE. It gets a bit messier later in the day.

Fri, Sep 4: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 1-2ft on SSE swell at 6s with 9mph SW winds. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 15mph from the SSW and dropping conditions to poor.

Sat, Sep 5: 12ft, 5s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 1-2ft on SSW swell at 5s with moderate W wind around 11mph. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Sun, Sep 6: 23ft, 5s period, rated Very Poor. Early morning is your best window — 1-2ft waves on S swell at 5s with gentle N breeze. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 15mph from the ENE and dropping conditions to very poor.

Mon, Sep 7: 34ft, 6s period, rated Very Poor. Not the most exciting day — 3-4ft and very poor conditions with 13mph out of the NE. Expect the wind to bump up to around 17mph by PM.

Daily Forecast

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Hourly Forecast

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Poor today — get one free email when Carolina Beach turns Good.

Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy Frying Pan Shoals (41013) 67 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

Check Carolina Beach from the lineup

Forecasts, surf alerts, and live conditions in the Swell Intel iPhone app.

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Carolina Beach Surf Spot Guide

Break
Beach
Bottom
Sand
Level
Intermediate
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
SE
Best Wind
NW
Season
Fall

Carolina Beach punches above its weight — the waves here are generally hollower and more powerful than those at Wrightsville Beach to the north on the same swell. The pier break is the focal point, with a grittier, more local vibe and a boardwalk/amusement park atmosphere. S, SE, and E swells all work well on this east-southeast facing beach.

Submerged pilings from old structuresLocalismRocks at high tidePier pilingsStrong currents on south swells

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Carolina Beach Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Carolina Beach?

The current wave height at Carolina Beach is 1-2ft with a 8.8s swell period. Wind is SSE at 11mph. Conditions are rated Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Carolina Beach?

The current breaking wave height at Carolina Beach is 1-2ft, produced by a 1.7ft SE primary swell at 9s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Carolina Beach?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Carolina Beach is Tuesday from 9 AM to 12 PM with 3ft waves, a 6.5s swell period, and conditions rated Poor - Fair. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Carolina Beach?

Carolina Beach works best with a SE swell and NW winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Carolina Beach?

Tide plays a big role at Carolina Beach. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Carolina Beach and who is it for?

Carolina Beach is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Carolina Beach punches above its weight — the waves here are generally hollower and more powerful than those at Wrightsville Beach to the north on the same swell. The pier break is the focal point, with a grittier, more local vibe and a boardwalk/amusement park atmosphere. S, SE, and E swells all work well on this east-southeast facing beach.

When is the best season to surf Carolina Beach?

The prime season at Carolina Beach is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Carolina Beach?

Common hazards at Carolina Beach include submerged pilings from old structures, localism, rocks at high tide, pier pilings, strong currents on south swells. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Carolina Beach surf forecast?

Our Carolina Beach forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).