Deal Surf Forecast, New Jersey

New Jersey

Right nowFair - Good
2-3+ft

Looking good out there — 2-3+ft all day on ESE swell at 6s with 10mph WSW winds.

Swell
2.2ft
6s · E
Wind
11–20mph
WSW · Offshore
Water
75°F
Boardshorts / rashguard
Tide
High
falling · low 6:56 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 1 PM localWind: model · 1 PM localTide: forecast

Best window·Monday 6AM9AM·2-3+ft·Fair - Good

Registered at the buoy
Swell3.3ft @ 9s SE
Steepness: steep

Deal 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Deal, New Jersey. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 23ft, 6s period, rated Fair - Good. The sweet spot is around midday — 2-3+ft waves, 10mph from the WSW, fair - good conditions. Morning is a bit bumpy but things clean up by late morning.

Fri, Sep 4: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor - Fair. Get out early for the best of it — 1-2ft waves on S swell at 5s and 11mph WNW winds. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Sat, Sep 5: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor. Aim for the middle of the day — 1-2ft on N swell at 4s with 14mph out of the NNW. Early on is a little rough — give it until mid-morning to shape up.

Sun, Sep 6: 34ft, 6s period, rated Very Poor. Expect 2-3ft waves early on NE swell at 4s.

Mon, Sep 7: 23ft, 10s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 2-3ft on E swell at 9s with 12mph N winds. Things get a bit scrappier as the day goes on.

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Hourly Forecast

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Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy New York Harbor (44065) 28 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

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Deal Surf Spot Guide

Break
Beach
Bottom
Sand
Level
Intermediate
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
E
Best Wind
W
Season
Fall

Deal is a classic New Jersey beach break situated along the northern Monmouth County coastline, offering punchy, fast-breaking waves that respond well to east and northeast swells generated by Atlantic storms. The sandy bottom produces hollow peaks that can deliver quality barrels during fall hurricane season and nor'easters, making it a favorite among experienced Garden State surfers. Its relatively uncrowded stretch of shoreline compared to nearby spots, combined with consistent sandbars shaped by longshore drift, gives Deal a well-deserved reputation as one of New Jersey's more reliable and rewarding beach breaks.

Strong currentsRip currentsSeasonal jellyfishCrowding during peak swellsCold water

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Deal Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Deal?

The current wave height at Deal is 2-3+ft with a 5.9s swell period. Wind is WSW at 11mph. Conditions are rated Fair - Good. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Deal?

The current breaking wave height at Deal is 2-3+ft, produced by a 2.2ft E wind swell swell at 6s, a 1.5ft SE secondary swell at 9s, a 1.3ft SSE wind swell swell at 3s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Deal?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Deal is Monday from 6 AM to 9 AM with 3ft waves, a 7.9s swell period, and conditions rated Fair - Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Deal?

Deal works best with a E swell and W winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Deal?

Tide plays a big role at Deal. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Deal and who is it for?

Deal is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Deal is a classic New Jersey beach break situated along the northern Monmouth County coastline, offering punchy, fast-breaking waves that respond well to east and northeast swells generated by Atlantic storms. The sandy bottom produces hollow peaks that can deliver quality barrels during fall hurricane season and nor'easters, making it a favorite among experienced Garden State surfers. Its relatively uncrowded stretch of shoreline compared to nearby spots, combined with consistent sandbars shaped by longshore drift, gives Deal a well-deserved reputation as one of New Jersey's more reliable and rewarding beach breaks.

When is the best season to surf Deal?

The prime season at Deal is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Deal?

Common hazards at Deal include strong currents, rip currents, seasonal jellyfish, crowding during peak swells, cold water. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Deal surf forecast?

Our Deal forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).