Los Angeles County, California
Best window·Thursday 3PM–6PM·3ft·Fair
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Leo Carrillo, Los Angeles County, California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Tue, Jun 30: 3–4ft, 18s period, rated Fair. Consistent 3-4ft surf through the day on SW swell at 11s with calm winds. Expect the wind to bump up to around 9mph by PM.
Wed, Jul 1: 3–4ft, 18s period, rated Fair. The sweet spot is around midday — 3-4ft waves, 9mph SSE winds, fair conditions. Early on is a little rough — give it until mid-morning to shape up.
Thu, Jul 2: 3–5ft, 18s period, rated Fair. Dawn patrol is the move — 3-4ft on WSW swell at 5s with gentle ESE breeze. It gets a bit messier later in the day.
Fri, Jul 3: 3–5ft, 18s period, rated Fair. Dawn patrol is the move — 3-5ft on SSW swell at 17s with moderate ESE wind around 7mph. Things get a bit scrappier as the day goes on.
Sat, Jul 4: 3–4ft, 16s period, rated Fair. Get out early for the best of it — 3-4ft waves on SSW swell at 15s and light ESE winds. Things get a bit scrappier as the day goes on.
Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Leo Carrillo is 2-4+ft with a 13.75s swell period. Wind is WSW at 5mph and conditions are rated Fair. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Leo Carrillo is 2-4+ft, produced by a 1ft SSW primary swell at 14s, a 0.9ft WSW secondary swell at 5s, a 0.7ft WNW tertiary swell at 10s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Leo Carrillo is Thursday from 3 PM to 6 PM with 3ft waves, a 17.7s swell period, and conditions rated Fair. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Leo Carrillo works best with a SSW swell and N winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Leo Carrillo. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Leo Carrillo is a point with a rock bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.
The prime season at Leo Carrillo is summer, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Leo Carrillo include rocks at the point, sea urchins, rip currents, tide-dependent. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Leo Carrillo forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable. Extended forecasts show general trends. Visit /public/accuracy for per-spot and regional performance metrics.
