Los Angeles County, California
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Leo Carrillo, Los Angeles County, California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Sat, May 16: 2–3ft, 15s period, rated Fair. Consistent 2-3ft surf through the day on W swell at 10s with calm winds. Expect the wind to bump up to around 6mph by PM.
Sun, May 17: 1–2ft, 14s period, rated Poor. Pretty quiet out there — 1-2ft and mostly poor with moderate ESE wind around 9mph.
Mon, May 18: 1–2ft, 16s period, rated Poor. Pretty quiet out there — 1-2ft and mostly poor with moderate E wind around 7mph.
Tue, May 19: 1–2ft, 15s period, rated Poor. Slim pickings today — 1-2ft and poor with calm winds. Winds do pick up a bit by the afternoon to 10mph.
Wed, May 20: 1–2ft, 14s period, rated Poor. Slim pickings today — 1-2ft and poor with gentle ESE breeze. Expect the wind to bump up to around 8mph by PM.
Takes 10 seconds with Google or Apple.
Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Leo Carrillo is 2-3ft with a 15.2s swell period. Wind is SW at 3mph and conditions are rated Fair. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Leo Carrillo is 2-3ft, produced by a 1.6ft W primary swell at 10s, a 1.2ft SSW secondary swell at 15s, a 1ft S tertiary swell at 13s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Leo Carrillo is Saturday from 8 AM to 11 AM with 3ft waves, a 15.15s swell period, and conditions rated Fair. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Leo Carrillo works best with a SSW swell and N winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Leo Carrillo. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Leo Carrillo is a point with a rock bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.
The prime season at Leo Carrillo is summer, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Leo Carrillo include rocks at the point, sea urchins, rip currents, tide-dependent. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Leo Carrillo forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable. Extended forecasts show general trends. See the forecast accuracy card above for per-spot and regional performance metrics.
