Leo Carrillo Surf Forecast, Los Angeles County, California

Los Angeles County, California

Right nowPoorlive wind
1-2ft

Early morning is your best window — 1-2ft waves on SSW swell at 11s with moderate ESE wind around 10mph.

Swell
1.3ft
11s · SSW
Wind
4–13mph
WSW · Cross-on
Water
72°F
Springsuit or none
Tide
Mid
rising · high 2:00 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 10 AM localWind: observation · 1 min oldTide: forecast

Best window·Sunday 5PM8PM·6-7ft·Good

Registered at the buoy
Groundswell2.1ft @ 10s SW

Leo Carrillo 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Leo Carrillo, Los Angeles County, California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 23ft, 12s period, rated Very Poor. Early morning is your best window — 2-3ft waves on SSW swell at 11s with 10mph from the ESE. It gets a bit messier later in the day.

Fri, Sep 4: 34ft, 18s period, rated Poor - Fair. Get out early for the best of it — 2-3ft waves on SSW swell at 18s and 9mph ENE winds. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Sat, Sep 5: 34ft, 16s period, rated Good. Dawn patrol is the move — 3-4ft on SSW swell at 16s with gentle E breeze. It gets a bit messier later in the day.

Sun, Sep 6: 67ft, 14s period, rated Good. Get out early for the best of it — 4-6ft waves on S swell at 14s and light NW winds. Things get a bit scrappier as the day goes on.

Mon, Sep 7: 46ft, 13s period, rated Good. Dawn patrol is the move — 4-6ft on S swell at 13s with light N winds. The W wind kicks in by afternoon — 8mph and good by then.

Daily Forecast

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Hourly Forecast

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Poor today — get one free email when Leo Carrillo turns Good.

Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy Santa Monica Basin (46025) 35 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

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Forecasts, surf alerts, and live conditions in the Swell Intel iPhone app.

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Leo Carrillo Surf Spot Guide

Break
Point
Bottom
Rock
Level
Intermediate
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
SSW
Best Wind
N
Season
Summer

Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.

Rocks at the pointSea urchinsRip currentsTide-dependent

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Leo Carrillo Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Leo Carrillo?

The current wave height at Leo Carrillo is 1-2ft with a 10.5s swell period. Wind is WSW at 4mph. Conditions are rated Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Leo Carrillo?

The current breaking wave height at Leo Carrillo is 1-2ft, produced by a 1.3ft SSW primary swell at 11s, a 1.1ft WSW wind swell swell at 5s, a 0.9ft SSW tertiary swell at 16s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Leo Carrillo?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Leo Carrillo is Sunday from 5 PM to 8 PM with 6ft waves, a 13.7s swell period, and conditions rated Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Leo Carrillo?

Leo Carrillo works best with a SSW swell and N winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Leo Carrillo?

Tide plays a big role at Leo Carrillo. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Leo Carrillo and who is it for?

Leo Carrillo is a point with a rock bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Leo Carrillo is a scenic right-hand reef/point break near the Ventura County line where waves peel along Sequit Point's rock formation. One of the most photogenic spots on the Malibu coast, with sea caves and tide pools at the base of the point. This is primarily a summer south-swell spot that works best at mid-tide on a rising tide. The inside sections have sand bottom for more forgiving conditions.

When is the best season to surf Leo Carrillo?

The prime season at Leo Carrillo is summer, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Leo Carrillo?

Common hazards at Leo Carrillo include rocks at the point, sea urchins, rip currents, tide-dependent. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Leo Carrillo surf forecast?

Our Leo Carrillo forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).