Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals Surf Forecast, Ventura County, California

Live

Ventura County, California

Right nowVery Poorlive wind
0-1ft

First light looks cleanest — 0-1ft on W swell at 5s with 8mph from the SSE.

Swell
2.6ft
5s · W
Wind
3–5mph
E · Calm
Water
71°F
Springsuit or none
Tide
Mid
rising · high 2:00 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 10 AM localWind: observation · 1 min oldTide: forecast

Conditions stay similar this week — check the hourly forecast at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals for the cleanest windows.

Registered at the buoy
Wind wave2.4ft @ 5s W
Swell0.7ft @ 9s WSW

Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals, Ventura County, California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 12ft, 6s period, rated Very Poor. Hold off if you can — morning starts out very poor with 1-2ft waves. Later in the day looks more promising — 1-2ft and very poor.

Fri, Sep 4: 12ft, 10s period, rated Poor. Dawn patrol is the move — 1-2ft on W swell at 4s with light winds out of the E. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 13mph from the W and dropping conditions to very poor.

Sat, Sep 5: 12ft, 5s period, rated Poor. Pretty quiet out there — 1-2ft and mostly poor with calm winds. Expect the wind to bump up to around 7mph by PM.

Sun, Sep 6: 12ft, 13s period, rated Poor. Early morning is your best window — 1-2ft waves on WSW swell at 8s with light winds out of the WNW. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Mon, Sep 7: 12ft, 5s period, rated Poor. Dawn patrol is the move — 1-2ft on W swell at 5s with light WNW winds. The W wind kicks in by afternoon — 11mph and very poor by then.

Daily Forecast

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Hourly Forecast

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Very Poor today — get one free email when Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals turns Good.

Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy Santa Monica Basin (46025) 76 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 10.How it works

Check Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals from the lineup

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Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals Surf Spot Guide

Break
Point
Bottom
Rock
Level
Intermediate
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
W
Best Wind
E
Season
Fall

Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is a classic Southern California point break where waves peel along a rocky shoreline, offering longer, more workable rides than many nearby beach breaks. The spot picks up consistent swell from the west and southwest, with the rocky point formation creating defined wave shape and the potential for extended walls during quality swells. This scenic stretch of Ventura County coastline delivers fun intermediate-friendly waves without the intensity of heavier reef breaks, making it a rewarding destination during the best autumn swell season.

RocksSea urchinsStrong currentsLocalism

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

The current wave height at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is 0-1ft with a 4.8s swell period. Wind is E at 3mph. Conditions are rated Very Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

The current breaking wave height at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is 0-1ft, produced by a 2.6ft W wind swell swell at 5s, a 0.7ft WNW secondary swell at 10s, a 0.7ft SW tertiary swell at 16s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is Sunday from 9 AM to 12 PM with 2ft waves, a 5.1s swell period, and conditions rated Poor. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals works best with a W swell and E winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

Tide plays a big role at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals and who is it for?

Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is a point with a rock bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is a classic Southern California point break where waves peel along a rocky shoreline, offering longer, more workable rides than many nearby beach breaks. The spot picks up consistent swell from the west and southwest, with the rocky point formation creating defined wave shape and the potential for extended walls during quality swells. This scenic stretch of Ventura County coastline delivers fun intermediate-friendly waves without the intensity of heavier reef breaks, making it a rewarding destination during the best autumn swell season.

When is the best season to surf Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

The prime season at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals?

Common hazards at Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals include rocks, sea urchins, strong currents, localism. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals surf forecast?

Our Little Rincon/Mussel Shoals forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).