Manzanita Surf Forecast, Oregon

Oregon

Right nowGood
5-7ft

Aim for the middle of the day — 5-7ft on W swell at 11s with 13mph SE winds.

Swell
9.5ft
11s · W
Wind
14–15mph
SSE · Cross
Water
58°F
3/2 fullsuit
Tide
Low
falling · low 11:52 AM
Surf: nearshore model · 9 AM localWind: model · 9 AM localTide: forecast

Best window·Thursday 10AM1PM·5-7ft·Good

Registered at the buoy
Groundswell8.4ft @ 13s WNW
Steepness: average

Manzanita 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Manzanita, Oregon. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 57ft, 11s period, rated Fair. Aim for the middle of the day — 5-7ft on W swell at 11s with 13mph SE winds. It's a bit wonky first thing but settles down.

Fri, Sep 4: 34+ft, 10s period, rated Fair - Good. First light looks cleanest — 3-4+ft on W swell at 9s with moderate ENE wind around 7mph. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Sat, Sep 5: 23ft, 9s period, rated Poor - Fair. Dawn patrol is the move — 2-3ft on WNW swell at 9s with light ENE winds. The NW wind kicks in by afternoon — 9mph and poor by then.

Sun, Sep 6: 23ft, 8s period, rated Poor. Pretty quiet out there — 1-2ft and mostly poor with moderate NE wind around 9mph.

Mon, Sep 7: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor. Pretty quiet out there — 1-2ft and mostly poor with gentle ESE breeze.

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Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy Columbia River Bar (46029) 67 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

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Manzanita Surf Spot Guide

Break
Beach
Bottom
Sand
Level
Intermediate
Crowd
Light
Best Swell
NW
Best Wind
E
Season
Fall

Manzanita is a scenic beach break tucked along the northern Oregon coast, offering consistent waves shaped by the powerful North Pacific swell machine. The beach faces west-northwest and picks up both NW and SW swells well, producing punchy, shifty peaks that reward surfers who can read a sandbar. The stunning backdrop of Neahkahnie Mountain and the remote, uncrowded nature of this Oregon gem make it a refreshing escape from busier breaks to the north and south.

Strong currentsCold waterShore dumpRip currentsSneaker wavesHypothermia risk

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Manzanita Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Manzanita?

The current wave height at Manzanita is 5-7ft with a 10.8s swell period. Wind is SSE at 14mph. Conditions are rated Good. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Manzanita?

The current breaking wave height at Manzanita is 5-7ft, produced by a 9.5ft W primary swell at 11s, a 1ft SW secondary swell at 15s, a 1ft SW tertiary swell at 13s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Manzanita?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Manzanita is Thursday from 10 AM to 1 PM with 6ft waves, a 10.8s swell period, and conditions rated Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Manzanita?

Manzanita works best with a NW swell and E winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Manzanita?

Tide plays a big role at Manzanita. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Manzanita and who is it for?

Manzanita is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Manzanita is a scenic beach break tucked along the northern Oregon coast, offering consistent waves shaped by the powerful North Pacific swell machine. The beach faces west-northwest and picks up both NW and SW swells well, producing punchy, shifty peaks that reward surfers who can read a sandbar. The stunning backdrop of Neahkahnie Mountain and the remote, uncrowded nature of this Oregon gem make it a refreshing escape from busier breaks to the north and south.

When is the best season to surf Manzanita?

The prime season at Manzanita is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Manzanita?

Common hazards at Manzanita include strong currents, cold water, shore dump, rip currents, sneaker waves, hypothermia risk. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Manzanita surf forecast?

Our Manzanita forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).