Northern California
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Point Cabrillo, Northern California. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Sat, May 16: 6–7ft, 14s period, rated Poor. Early morning is your best window — 6-7ft waves on WNW swell at 14s with 23mph out of the N. The NNW wind kicks in by afternoon — 34mph and poor by then.
Sun, May 17: 10–11ft, 9s period, rated Poor. Early morning is your best window — 10-11ft waves on W swell at 13s with 26mph N winds. Onshore flow builds through the day to 32mph, bringing conditions down to poor.
Mon, May 18: 6–7ft, 9s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 7-8ft on NW swell at 9s with moderate N wind around 7mph. The NNW wind kicks in by afternoon — 24mph and poor by then.
Tue, May 19: 7–8ft, 15s period, rated Poor. First light looks cleanest — 7-8ft on NW swell at 9s with 9mph N winds. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 18mph from the NNW and dropping conditions to poor.
Wed, May 20: 5–6ft, 14s period, rated Poor - Fair. Dawn patrol is the move — 6-7ft on NW swell at 8s with moderate NNW wind around 8mph. Wind fills in through the day, pushing up to 14mph from the NNW and dropping conditions to poor - fair.
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Point Cabrillo is a scenic rocky point break on the Mendocino County coast that wraps around a dramatic headland, offering multiple peaks and a long, peeling ride when conditions align. The break works best during large fall and winter swells when northwest swell wraps around the point, creating well-defined waves that peel along the rocky bottom. This is a quality spot for intermediate surfers seeking uncrowded waves with stunning coastal views and good shape on the right swell direction.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Point Cabrillo is 6-7ft with a 7.55s swell period. Wind is N at 24mph and conditions are rated Poor - Fair. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Point Cabrillo is 6-7ft, produced by a 2.8ft WNW primary swell at 14s, a 1.2ft SW secondary swell at 14s, a 7ft NW wind swell swell at 8s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Point Cabrillo is Monday from 7 AM to 10 AM with 8ft waves, a 9.25s swell period, and conditions rated Fair - Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Point Cabrillo works best with a WNW swell and SE winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Point Cabrillo. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Point Cabrillo is a point with a rock bottom, suited to intermediate surfers. Point Cabrillo is a scenic rocky point break on the Mendocino County coast that wraps around a dramatic headland, offering multiple peaks and a long, peeling ride when conditions align. The break works best during large fall and winter swells when northwest swell wraps around the point, creating well-defined waves that peel along the rocky bottom. This is a quality spot for intermediate surfers seeking uncrowded waves with stunning coastal views and good shape on the right swell direction.
The prime season at Point Cabrillo is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Point Cabrillo include rocks, strong currents, urchins, cold water. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Point Cabrillo forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable. Extended forecasts show general trends. See the forecast accuracy card above for per-spot and regional performance metrics.
