Fair Harbor Surf Forecast, New York

New York

Right nowVery Poor
2-3+ft

Slim pickings today — 2-3+ft and very poor with 11mph from the SW.

Swell
2.3ft
6s · ESE
Wind
11–14mph
SW · Cross-on
Water
74°F
Springsuit or none
Tide
High
rising · high 3:10 PM
Surf: nearshore model · 2 PM localWind: model · 2 PM localTide: forecast

Best window·Sunday 2PM5PM·2-3+ft·Fair

Registered at the buoy
Wind wave2.4ft @ 6s SSE
Swell1.8ft @ 9s SE

Fair Harbor 5-Day Forecast Summary

Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Fair Harbor, New York. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.

Thu, Sep 3: 23+ft, 6s period, rated Very Poor. The sweet spot is around midday — 2-3+ft waves, moderate SW wind around 11mph, poor conditions. It's a bit wonky first thing but settles down.

Fri, Sep 4: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor. The sweet spot is around midday — 1-2ft waves, gentle WNW breeze, poor - fair conditions. Early on is a little rough — give it until mid-morning to shape up.

Sat, Sep 5: 12ft, 8s period, rated Poor - Fair. First light looks cleanest — 1-2ft on NNE swell at 5s with strong N wind at 19mph. Things get a bit scrappier as the day goes on.

Sun, Sep 6: 23+ft, 7s period, rated Poor - Fair. Expect 2-3+ft waves early on ENE swell at 6s.

Mon, Sep 7: 12ft, 10s period, rated Poor - Fair. First light looks cleanest — 1-2ft on E swell at 10s with moderate NNW wind around 12mph. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.

Daily Forecast

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Hourly Forecast

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Very Poor today — get one free email when Fair Harbor turns Good.

Forecasts here are checked against NOAA buoy Long Island (44025) 43 km away. Predictions are being recorded before each swell arrives; the predicted-vs-measured record publishes openly around September 9.How it works

Check Fair Harbor from the lineup

Forecasts, surf alerts, and live conditions in the Swell Intel iPhone app.

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Fair Harbor Surf Spot Guide

Break
Beach
Bottom
Sand
Level
Beginner
Crowd
Moderate
Best Swell
S
Best Wind
NNW
Season
Fall

Fair Harbor is a mellow beach break nestled on the Fire Island barrier island off the south shore of Long Island, New York, facing the Atlantic Ocean to the south. The spot picks up south and southeast swells generated by Atlantic storms and tropical systems, producing fun, rolling waves that are well-suited for beginners and longboarders. Its remote, car-free island setting gives it a laid-back vibe, and fall hurricane season swells can push surf quality to a surprisingly respectable level for the New York region.

Strong rip currentsShifting sandbarsFerry traffic nearbyJellyfishCrowded summer beach

Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.

Fair Harbor Surf Forecast FAQ

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What is the current surf forecast for Fair Harbor?

The current wave height at Fair Harbor is 2-3+ft with a 6.1s swell period. Wind is SW at 11mph. Conditions are rated Very Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.

What is the breaking wave height at Fair Harbor?

The current breaking wave height at Fair Harbor is 2-3+ft, produced by a 2.3ft ESE wind swell swell at 6s, a 1.5ft SE secondary swell at 9s, a 1.1ft SW wind swell swell at 2s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.

When is the best time to surf Fair Harbor?

Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Fair Harbor is Sunday from 2 PM to 5 PM with 3ft waves, a 6.3s swell period, and conditions rated Fair. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.

What swell and wind direction work best at Fair Harbor?

Fair Harbor works best with a S swell and NNW winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.

What tide is best at Fair Harbor?

Tide plays a big role at Fair Harbor. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.

What kind of wave is Fair Harbor and who is it for?

Fair Harbor is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to beginner surfers. Fair Harbor is a mellow beach break nestled on the Fire Island barrier island off the south shore of Long Island, New York, facing the Atlantic Ocean to the south. The spot picks up south and southeast swells generated by Atlantic storms and tropical systems, producing fun, rolling waves that are well-suited for beginners and longboarders. Its remote, car-free island setting gives it a laid-back vibe, and fall hurricane season swells can push surf quality to a surprisingly respectable level for the New York region.

When is the best season to surf Fair Harbor?

The prime season at Fair Harbor is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.

Are there any hazards to know about at Fair Harbor?

Common hazards at Fair Harbor include strong rip currents, shifting sandbars, ferry traffic nearby, jellyfish, crowded summer beach. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.

How accurate is the Fair Harbor surf forecast?

Our Fair Harbor forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).