New York
A slow one — 2-3+ft waves and poor conditions with 11mph from the SW.
A slow one — 2-3+ft waves and poor conditions with 11mph from the SW.
Best window·Sunday 3PM–6PM·2-3ft·Fair - Good
Here's how the next 5 days are shaping up at Tobay Beach, New York. Each day is rated based on breaking wave height, swell period, and wind — updated hourly from the latest NOAA GFS run.
Thu, Sep 3: 2–3ft, 6s period, rated Poor. Dawn patrol is the move — 2-3ft on ESE swell at 6s with 11mph from the SW. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.
Fri, Sep 4: 1–2ft, 8s period, rated Poor. Aim for the middle of the day — 1-2ft on SW swell at 4s with gentle WNW breeze. Morning is a bit bumpy but things clean up by late morning.
Sat, Sep 5: 1–2ft, 8s period, rated Poor - Fair. Dawn patrol is the move — 1-2ft on ESE swell at 8s with 13mph from the N. Conditions go downhill through the afternoon.
Sun, Sep 6: 2–3ft, 7s period, rated Fair. Afternoon is the play — morning is only poor at 2-3ft. The breeze eases and things smooth out to fair by PM.
Mon, Sep 7: 1–2ft, 10s period, rated Poor - Fair. Not the most exciting day — 1-2ft and poor - fair conditions with moderate NNW wind around 11mph.
Two days at a glance. Swipe for later hours.Five days at a glance. Drag for later hours.
Poor today — get one free email when Tobay Beach turns Good.
Check Tobay Beach from the lineup
Forecasts, surf alerts, and live conditions in the Swell Intel iPhone app.
Tobay Beach is a mellow Long Island surf spot on the barrier island of New York's South Shore, facing south into the Atlantic across the Great South Bay. The break produces gentle, rolling waves that work best on south swells pushed up by tropical storms and nor'easters, with the sandy bottom keeping things forgiving for newer surfers. Its relative seclusion compared to Jones Beach and the surrounding nature preserve make it a quieter option for those looking to score uncrowded waves along this stretch of New York coastline.
Wave heights shown are breaking wave heights — the actual rideable wave size at this spot.
The current wave height at Tobay Beach is 2-3+ft with a 6.1s swell period. Wind is SW at 11mph. Conditions are rated Poor. The forecast updates hourly so you can plan your session around the cleanest windows.
The current breaking wave height at Tobay Beach is 2-3+ft, produced by a 2.4ft ESE wind swell swell at 6s, a 1.5ft SE secondary swell at 9s. Breaking wave height is the actual rideable wave size at the shore — calculated from offshore swell data using this spot's coastal bathymetry — not the raw buoy reading.
Based on the current 5-day forecast, the best window to surf Tobay Beach is Sunday from 3 PM to 6 PM with 2ft waves, a 6.4s swell period, and conditions rated Fair - Good. Check the hourly forecast for updates as conditions can shift.
Tobay Beach works best with a S swell and NNW winds. Offshore winds groom the face of the wave, while onshore winds turn it sloppy. Cross-offshore conditions usually produce the cleanest shape.
Tide plays a big role at Tobay Beach. Mid tide works for most beach breaks, while reef and point breaks often prefer higher or lower stages. Use the tide chart above to line up your session with the swell peak.
Tobay Beach is a beach with a sand bottom, suited to beginner surfers. Tobay Beach is a mellow Long Island surf spot on the barrier island of New York's South Shore, facing south into the Atlantic across the Great South Bay. The break produces gentle, rolling waves that work best on south swells pushed up by tropical storms and nor'easters, with the sandy bottom keeping things forgiving for newer surfers. Its relative seclusion compared to Jones Beach and the surrounding nature preserve make it a quieter option for those looking to score uncrowded waves along this stretch of New York coastline.
The prime season at Tobay Beach is fall, when swell direction, wind patterns, and water temps line up most consistently. Outside the peak season you can still score, but you'll need to watch the forecast closely for the right windows.
Common hazards at Tobay Beach include strong rip currents, seasonal jellyfish, crowded summer beach traffic, shifting sandbars. Always check conditions before paddling out, respect local etiquette, and never surf alone if you're unfamiliar with the break.
Our Tobay Beach forecast uses NOAA GFS and other weather models combined with spot-specific bathymetry to calculate breaking wave heights. Short-range (1-3 day) forecasts are most reliable; extended forecasts show general trends. We also verify our offshore swell predictions against NOAA buoy measurements daily — see our accuracy page for those swell-verification metrics (buoys measure open-water swell, not breaking surf size).
